Learn More About Happy Valley Horse Racing Tipping Service

Hong Kong premium horse racing tips Happy Valley TIPS...

6 Ways to Spot a Questionable Tipping Service!

The tips are free

You really have to ask yourself, why would any successful punter provide quality tips free of charge - what’s in it for them? If it’s free, that usually means it isn’t worth anything. Winning on the punt requires hard work. Punters who’ve put in that hard work value the time they’ve spent on it. Economic reality states that they can’t do it and then just give the tips away, free of charge, and allow others to eat into their dividends. If somebody isn’t charging for their tips, they generally either haven’t done the hard work, in which case the tips won’t win over the long-term, or they’re getting paid via other means.

They promote corporate bookmaker links

As you would likely expect, any website that advertises bookmakers on their site receives payment for this. You would have seen the ads offering bonus bet incentives to sign up to the corporate bookie. What you may not know is that this is not a one-off marketing payment. What actually happens is the websites are paid lifetime commissions of anywhere between 20-40% on the LOSSES incurred by punters who sign up through their link. It’s called an affiliate agreement. The bookies pay them monthly. If the punter wins for the month, then there is no payment to the website. But if the punter loses for the month, the website receives 20-40% of those LOSSES. Forever – as long as the punter is using the account. Think about that for a minute. The world works on incentives. That’s why employees of companies are offered bonuses for achieving certain KPIs or objectives aligned with the business’s interests. So, any website advertising corporate bookmakers are therefore INCENTIVISED for you to LOSE. Think about how free tips websites operate. Of course, they’re not doing it for free. Websites of any decent quality are very costly to build and maintain.  This is all funded by advertising corporate bookies. The problem is, they’re funded by losses, so there’s no incentive for these companies to turn you into a winning punter.  Instead, they provide you with ‘content’, ‘information’ and ‘education’ that’s designed to fool you into believing you have some edge over the market, but in reality, is designed solely to encourage you to bet more, when really you are receiving information that will keep you trapped within the 98% of punters who lose long term

They only quote short term results based on the day/week/month

Betting should be treated as an investment, with a long-term perspective. Most questionable tipping services shout from the rooftops whenever they have a winning day, week, or month, with no reference to their overall results. Anyone can record big wins over a short period. Even a monkey or octopus randomly pointing at horses will strike it lucky over a short-term period. The real test is whether profits are made over a statistically significant period, which frankly is a minimum of 1 year. Any service that only ever promotes results over any period less than this is in the game solely to attract losers and suckers

There is no explanation of the betting bank required for the service

‘Unitised’ betting has become commonplace in the tipping industry. Many services now offer information on how many units to bet on the horse they are tipping. Many neglects to include the betting bank that’s required for the selections. This defies the whole point of unitized betting, which is designed to make clear how much you are investing to protect your betting bank and capital - a point missed by services who advise huge unit investments on their selections. In our experience, genuine services advise a 100-unit betting bank, and their average bet is usually somewhere between 0.5 to 2.0 units. However, we’ve seen some services advise members to bet 20, 30, 50, or even 100 units on their selections! This is a trick which they use in their marketing to then attempt to drown out all other tipping services, by shouting from the rooftops whenever they have a winning day, stating the enormous unit amounts won. When it comes to tipsters advising these huge units, we’ve never actually seen them make clear the total betting bank required. In our experience, the higher the average units advised to bet on a horse, the more dishonest the tipping service is.

Results are unachievable

Many services record their odds at unachievable prices, including the following tricks:

• Odds only offered by one bookie in early betting markets

• Odds only offered by a bookie which most punters are banned from

• Odds recorded at the highest possible price achieved in the market, whether the horse firms or drifts, with no advice given on how to back the selections

The tips are based predominantly on ‘inside information

“Inside info” is a funny thing. Yes, in isolation, a small piece of information about a horse that they like can be valuable for any punter. But those who claim they win long-term based on their access to “inside information” are generally being less than honest. The key question is, of course, where the “inside information” is coming from. Most people have been tipped into a horse by a trainer or other connection at some point, and sometimes it might come off! But logically, it can never be a long-term winning solution. The structure of the horse racing industry means that no one person has “inside information” about every horse. To find winners, and find them at value, you need to be across the form of all the horses in a race. Simple tips like “horse x are going really, really well in trackwork” might be useful for that horse, but there might be up to 20 others in the race – how are they going? To win on the punt you need to have a very well-formulated opinion on each horse’s chances of winning and hence how it should be priced. There’s only one basis for that: proper, educated form analysis.